Epic Round Trip as Rates Launch Higher Only to End Lower
You won't see too many days like today when it comes to mortgage rates and the underlying bond market that drives them. Bonds were eagerly awaiting this morning's Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key inflation report and an important source of guidance for the Fed rate outlook.
Reminder: while the Fed Funds Rate itself does not control mortgage rates, Fed rate EXPECTATIONS tend to correlate much better.
Fed rate expectations leapt higher this morning after inflation came in hotter than expected. The rest of the interest rate world followed in lock step. When lenders released their initial mortgage rates this morning, the daily average 30yr fixed was up 0.1% from yesterday--a very big move for a single day.
But roughly half an hour later, the bond market began gradually moving baCategories
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